Thanks to Fantasy Pros and Fan Duel, I am once again competing in the Daily Fantasy Accuracy Cup in 2016. Each week, myself and 44 other daily fantasy writers compete in a Fan Duel contest for actual cash money. Our scores are totaled, along the way, and by the All-Star Break we’ll have decided which writer gives the most accurate advice. Each week, I am posting my lineups here on Brewer Rat, along with some analysis.
Last week was much better than the week before. I finished 15th, the exact bottom of the top third. Carlos Martinez got me a nice bounty of 42 pts for $9,000, and I got 3 HR from Vogt, Pujols, and Gardner. Unfortunately, Trout left me hanging, only scoring 3 points off of Tommy Milone, but I’m happy with a 15th place finish.
I’ll be honest, I threw my lineup together rather hastily this week. That doesn’t mean I don’t like it, but it also doesn’t mean I’ll be entering it in a lot of games tonight, outside of the DFAC. It also means that I’ll rather hastily be putting together my lineup analysis.
Pitcher: Jeff Samardzija – Giants, vs. vs. Marlins
There’s a lot of high quality, high priced pitching starting tonight. Lester is very tempting against the Reds, but at $10,600, I couldn’t pull the trigger in that ballpark. Harvey would make a nice contrarian play, Gio and Wainwright have nice matchups, Corbin, Moore, and Quintana would all make solid plays, but I really like Samardzija’s chances at the W, as he faces off against Cosart.
Catcher: Stephen Vogt – Athletics, @Sanchez
Aaron Sanchez looks great so far, but Vogt’s tough to pass on at $2,800 against a RHP in Toronto.
1st Base: Lucas Duda – Mets, @Norris
Sure, the game is in home run suppressing Atlanta, but Duda crushes RHP (career .226 ISO vs RHP), and Bud Norris is pitching.
2nd Base: Scooter Gennett – Brewers, vs. Nola
Many of the struggles that Nola has had have come against left handed hitters. Scooter is never an ideal play because he weighs about 75 lbs, but he’s been fantastic so far this year, so I’ll try to ride that out.
3rd Base: Todd Frazier – White Sox, vs. Perez
This pick is more about Perez than it is about Frazier. Perez is always a threat to crap the bed. Frazier is one of two home run threats the Sox have, so he’s in my lineup today.
Short Stop: Corey Seager – Dodgers, @J. Gray
I can only assume that other teams will have a lot of shares of this Coors game. I would too, if they weren’t so damn expensive. I’ll probably regret not having more, but I had to have at least one batter here facing Gray in his 2016 debut. Hopefully it’s one that isn’t too highly owned
Outfield – Carlos Gomez – Astros, vs. Wright
Wright is the type of pitcher that Gomez could completely flop against. Gomez thrives off of fastballs, and Wright isn’t gonna bring the speed. However, if he hangs one, Gomez is taking it deep. I think this is a pretty big all-or-nothing play, but it’s a risk worth taking for less than $3,000.
Outfield – Michael Conforto – Mets, @Norris
Conforto’s price is starting to rise, but $3,400 is still to low, especially when he gets to face a RHP like Norris.
Outfield – Jason Heyward – Cubs, @Moscot
More than 75% of Heyward’s home runs have come against righties. He’s not much of a power hitter, but against a pitcher like Moscot that doesn’t induce a ton of groundouts, and in a tiny little stadium like GABP, I’m digging Heyward.
Good Luck tonight!