FANTASY PROS’ DAILY FANTASY ACCURACY CUP WEEK 4

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Thanks to Fantasy Pros and Fan Duel, I am once again competing in the Daily Fantasy Accuracy Cup in 2016. Each week, myself and 44 other daily fantasy writers compete in a Fan Duel contest for actual cash money. Our scores are totaled, along the way, and by the All-Star Break we’ll have decided which writer gives the most accurate advice. Each week, I am posting my lineups here on Brewer Rat, along with some analysis

If this looks like fun, and you’d like to give DFS a try, click here and tell them I sent you.

My lineup did well last week, led by Jeff Samardzija, Corey Seager, and Jason Heyward. I finished 13th on the week, and I’ve moved up to 20th in the overall DFAC rankings.

You can see my lineup above.

There are a lot of upper-tier pitchers starting tonight. Strasburg, Kluber, Felix, Tanaka, Smyly, and Matz are all taking the hill. Outside of Kluber, though, I didn’t like any of their matchups that much, at least not at that price. Instead, I went a cheaper route, and took Aaron Sanchez. He’s going against Smyly, so a win isn’t a sure bet, but Tampa Bay’s offense is miserable. They’re in the bottom 5 of both strikeouts per game and runs per game. Sanchez was roughed up at home last time out, but this time he’ll pitch in one of the most run-suppressing ballparks in the league.

Beyond Sanchez, I wanted to get some shares of righties against Adam Morgan in Philly. Yan Gomes has not hit well this season, and his price reflects that a bit, but that’s almost entirely because of his performance against RHP. Against lefties, he has a .308 AVG and .231 ISO. Sure, it’s a small sample, but his career wOBA against lefties is .340, so this isn’t a fluke.

Gomes isn’t the only Indian I took, though. I’ll also be playing Francisco Lindor, and his career .914 OPS against lefties.

Last week I predicted that Bud Norris would get punished by left-handed Mets’ bats. I was right, except that all the damage came from Curtis Granderson, while I rostered Lucas Duda and Michael Conforto. This week, the Mets take on Jake Peavy. Peavy has been hit significantly harder by lefties than righties throughout his career, and this year he looks as washed up as ever.

The Rockies aren’t at home, but playing in hitter-friendly Arizona shouldn’t stop you from picking on Tyler Chatwood. Lamb only gets to play so often as a platoon player, but in 87 plate appearances, he sports a .297 AVG and a wonderful .257 ISO.

I filled in the rest of my outfield with a pricey, stat-collecting juggernaut named Ryan Braun, and an underpriced Gregory Polanco in the midst of a breakout campaign. Braun’s hitting .352 with 5 HR and a .268 ISO. Polanco’s reverse splits actually make him a bit of a risk, but  it’s tough to find more talent at that price.

To round out my lineup I grabbed Chase Utley. Chase is cheap, and always good for a few points. I would have preferred to spend less here, but I didn’t like many of the options.

I’ll surely grab some shares of Kluber in other lineups, but I like Sanchez tonight. It’s a calculated risk taking Sanchez instead of Kluber, so hopefully it pays off. Good Luck, and hopefully this will help your lineup pay off for you as well.

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Fantasy Pros’ Daily Fantasy Accuracy Cup Week 3

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Thanks to Fantasy Pros and Fan Duel, I am once again competing in the Daily Fantasy Accuracy Cup in 2016. Each week, myself and 44 other daily fantasy writers compete in a Fan Duel contest for actual cash money. Our scores are totaled, along the way, and by the All-Star Break we’ll have decided which writer gives the most accurate advice. Each week, I am posting my lineups here on Brewer Rat, along with some analysis.

Last week was much better than the week before. I finished 15th, the exact bottom of the top third. Carlos Martinez got me a nice bounty of 42 pts for $9,000, and I got 3 HR from Vogt, Pujols, and Gardner. Unfortunately, Trout left me hanging, only scoring 3 points off of Tommy Milone, but I’m happy with a 15th place finish.

I’ll be honest, I threw my lineup together rather hastily this week. That doesn’t mean I don’t like it, but it also doesn’t mean I’ll be entering it in a lot of games tonight, outside of the DFAC. It also means that I’ll rather hastily be putting together my lineup analysis.

Pitcher: Jeff Samardzija – Giants, vs. vs. Marlins

There’s a lot of high quality, high priced pitching starting tonight. Lester is very tempting against the Reds, but at $10,600, I couldn’t pull the trigger in that ballpark. Harvey would make a nice contrarian play, Gio and Wainwright have nice matchups, Corbin, Moore, and Quintana would all make solid plays, but I really like Samardzija’s chances at the W, as he faces off against Cosart.

Catcher: Stephen Vogt – Athletics, @Sanchez

Aaron Sanchez looks great so far, but Vogt’s tough to pass on at $2,800 against a RHP in Toronto.

1st Base: Lucas Duda – Mets, @Norris

Sure, the game is in home run suppressing Atlanta, but Duda crushes RHP (career .226 ISO vs RHP), and Bud Norris is pitching.

2nd Base: Scooter Gennett – Brewers, vs. Nola

Many of the struggles that Nola has had have come against left handed hitters. Scooter is never an ideal play because he weighs about 75 lbs, but he’s been fantastic so far this year, so I’ll try to ride that out.

3rd Base: Todd Frazier – White Sox, vs. Perez

This pick is more about Perez than it is about Frazier. Perez is always a threat to crap the bed. Frazier is one of two home run threats the Sox have, so he’s in my lineup today.

Short Stop: Corey Seager – Dodgers, @J. Gray

I can only assume that other teams will have a lot of shares of this Coors game. I would too, if they weren’t so damn expensive. I’ll probably regret not having more, but I had to have at least one batter here facing Gray in his 2016 debut. Hopefully it’s one that isn’t too highly owned

Outfield – Carlos Gomez – Astros, vs. Wright

Wright is the type of pitcher that Gomez could completely flop against. Gomez thrives off of fastballs, and Wright isn’t gonna bring the speed. However, if he hangs one, Gomez is taking it deep. I think this is a pretty big all-or-nothing play, but it’s a risk worth taking for less than $3,000.

Outfield – Michael Conforto – Mets, @Norris

Conforto’s price is starting to rise, but $3,400 is still to low, especially when he gets to face a RHP like Norris.

Outfield – Jason Heyward – Cubs, @Moscot

More than 75% of Heyward’s home runs have come against righties. He’s not much of a power hitter, but against a pitcher like Moscot that doesn’t induce a ton of groundouts, and in a tiny little stadium like GABP, I’m digging Heyward.

Good Luck tonight!